It's getting hotter in Ukraine

It seems the Ukrainian army is ready to assault the two rebel cities in the East, Donetsk and Lugansk. The population is fleeing, taking refuge while the rebels are preparing to make their last stand. Or not?

A Russian humanitarian convoy has been sent to these cities, to aid civilians they say. Russia amassed a huge intervention force at the Ukrainian borders intimidating their neighboring country but didn't act yet. Maybe they were happy with the rebels resistance in their cities, however a successful assault of the Ukrainian troops would turn the tables. Will then Moscow feel the need to attack?
They can't afford to lose Ukraine from their claws that's for sure.

In other news some 3500 Ukrainian soldiers went missing out of the blue in the east. The official reports are quite confusing, could they have been taken prisoners? Or they simply deserted to the rebels? Support for the war is very low especially in the Ukrainian regions which were former territories of Romania and Poland, more and more these minorities refuse to fight for a government that cared little of them so far.

Oil price might double under the pressure of Ukraine war and Iraq civil war

Well oil pricing is under 100 dollars but could this be the beginning of the perfect storm? There is a growing concern in the markets with the intensified war in Ukraine and the continuous unrest in the Middle East (how long until the jihadists seize Baghdad?) .

President Obama authorized attacks against Iraq rebels causing oil price to rise on New York and London markets and this could be the beginning of a rising trend. After all Iraq is he second largest oil producer and is suffering heavily already due to the civil war.

What if Russia decides to invade Ukraine? How much will the oil price jump with pessimists seeing it even at 200 dollars?

Economic war in the Ukraine

Well week after week goes by and the war continues in the Ukraine. Could it be Russian special troops acting like rebels? Are there real Ukraine rebels sick of the country's route to the EU and the West?

Anyway the truth is there is a lot of economical hassle around this war. Ukraine will have to pay a bigger price on the Russian gas and as they say in Game of Thrones, winter is coming. They have also lost Crimeea, Russians were quick to seize it and annex it. Not to say their economical ties with Russia, all cut. One can say Ukraine is now on the brink of disaster, bankrupt and desperately needing funds - but where to get them?

Russia on the other hand starts to have problems with the economic sanctions imposed by the West. Sure it still has to sell its gas all over EU, gets the French Mistral warships and all but can they stand a long economic cold-war? Only time will tell.

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Second wave of the crysis?

OK folks so everyone is happy, the economic crisis left, we can all go back and spend in a frenzy no? Let's start again buying those big houses with long term loans. Let's get the latest and fanciest model of our favorite car. How about that trip to Bahamas you've always dreamed of? Go get it now, the economic crisis is gone... that's what they want you to think.

So what's been resolved since 2009? Are the huge national debts paid? Do most countries stopped borrowing money? Don't think so. They have just piled the garbage under the rug. So sooner or later we can expect to see it again and who will save the economies this time? More money being printed out of nowhere? More banks going bankrupt? Let's just wait and see!

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Author: praca

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